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Tommy Gold NFL 2009 Week 4 Results Recap

Posted 6th October 2009 at 09:22 by
Below are my Week 4 results recap:

20 - Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots: Baltimore Ravens +1,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker (LOSS)
21 - New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs: New York Giants -8,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker (WIN)
22 - Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Tennessee Titans -3 +100 (2,00) Legends (LOSS)
23 - Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts -10 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker (WIN)
24 - Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns: Cincinnati Bengals -6 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker(LOSS)
25 - Saint Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco 49ers -9 -110 (1,91) The Greek (WIN)
26 - Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota Vikings -3,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker (WIN)

SIDES: 4-3. (Week 4: +0,64 units)
NFL 2009 Season results - SIDES: 12-10; TOTALS 1-3. Overall: 13-13. Balance: -1,26 units
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Tommy Gold NFL 2009 Week 4 Picks: MIN -3,5

Posted 5th October 2009 at 11:47 by
[b]Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings [/b]

Green Bay has a very good QB, but Aaron Rodgers suffers a lot of sacks and if he plays in this game like he did in the previous games, Minnesota will "take good care" of him. The Vikings D is very strong against the passing game, but they are even better when facing the opponents' rushing game, showing a lot of agressiveness and unless the Packers offensive line does an outstanding game, we will see Aaron Rodgers suffering a lof of sacks instead of making more good plays. Packers D has been very weak lately, if we don't count with their season opening, and if their running defense doesn't dramatically improve, they won't be able to stop the best rusher in the league, RB Adrian Peterson, and they will have a lot of problems to stop the Vikes ground offense.

This is the QB Brett Favre game that everyone wants to see, both the supports and the players as well, and all the Minnesota roster has stated they are supporting Brett Favre on this game, so everyone is on the same page and hopes to see him shine big time. For the veteran QB, this will be one of the most important games of his long career, with an added revenge factor motivation for Favre to show to his former team, that the "Packers" shouldn't let him go like they did.

The Vikings have this year a good an experience QB, something they didn't had before, they have the best rusher in the league, the head coach is not binded to play only the rushing game anymore, since he has now someone who can deliver the ball to his receivers, even in a very dramatic way like we saw in their last game, which for any opponent facing this Vikings O, is a living nightmare.

I believe that Favre will do his best to win this game, the team will support him, so the usual rivalry between Vikings and Packers as an added motive, and the edge after comparing Green Bay and Minnesota goes for the Vikings, not only because they have the home field advantage, but also because they have the better team, both on the offensive plan, and on the defensive plan as well. Henceforth, I think the Minnesota Vikings are going to win this game by 1 or more touchdowns.

[b]Pick: Minnesota Vikings -3,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker [/b]
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Tommy Gold NFL 2009 Week 4 Picks: SFO -9

Posted 4th October 2009 at 11:08 by
[b]Saint Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers[/b]

I don't have much to say positively about Saint Louis, this is a weak team on all the sectors. Their QB is weak, their offense is weak (the exception being their rushing game), their defense is weak (miserable might be a better adjective). Then you have a lot of important players sidelined with injuries, which depletes a team that has already few quality players to contend against the other teams in the league. So things are not going quite well for the Rams and their coaching staff will have to come up with a lot of patchwork in order to play this game.

San Francisco had a heart-breaking defeat last week, thanks to Brett Favre and Greg Lewis, with the former throwing a last second pass to the later, but the 49ers head coach already told to the press that the way they lost in Minneapolis won't cause troubles to the team, it will be quite the opposite, San Francisco is now much more ready and motivated than before for this game. Their calling card is an agressive defense, with put a lot fo work against the passing game and the rushing game as well, as we saw them do against the Vikes, where they neutralized with some degree of success the best rusher of the league (Adrian Peterson only had 85 yards for 19 carries, scoring is lowest average in his first three games with only 4.5 yards). The 49ers O shows a decent QB with good options on the passing game thanks to their nice wide receivers.

With all the issues plaguing the Rams, knowing that the 49ers are the best team in all the field sectors, it is my belief that the 49ers will make the most of their home field advantage and win easily this game by 2 or more touchdowns.

[b]Pick: San Francisco 49ers -9 -110 (1,91) The Greek[/b]
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Tommy Gold NFL 2009 Week 4 Picks: CIN -10

Posted 4th October 2009 at 11:04 by
[b]Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns[/b]

Cincinnati has a good QB and Carson Palmer has great offensive options, which makes his team a dangerous one on the passing game. The Bengals have also used Cedric Benson a lot on the rushing game and I think that he is a good choice and he has proved it in the early season. So, we have a Bengals O with good choices to play both by the air on the ground, which makes this offensive team very dangerous. Remarkably, Cincinnati has also done well on the defense, which is a nice surprise, and I believe that with all these qualities, they might qualify to the Playoffs.

Cleveland changed their starting QB, but that won't change, because both players for that role are very weak after all and this Browns O is having a lot of troubles to score points, only 1 touchdown scored in their last 9 games says it all. The Cleveland defense is not playing good either, the team gives up a lot of ground against the rushing game and they don't do much damage against the opponents' passing game. Truth be told, this Browns D doesn't have any organization whatsoever and that is the main reason why Cleveland suffers so many points per game.

I enjoy seeing these Bengals playing again with QB Carson Palmer and I'm positively surprised to see the agressiveness that the Cincinatti defense puts in their game, because the Bengals have excellent offensive weapons and their defense is doing a nice job, and they are visiting a team that is very weak on both sides of the game, offensive and defensive alike. If the Bengals want to reach their goals on this season and make to the Playoffs, they can't lose these easy games. Cincinati will prove their superiority on this game and win it by 1 or more touchdowns.


[b]Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -6 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker[/b]
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Tommy Gold NFL 2009 Week 4 Picks: IND -10

Posted 4th October 2009 at 11:03 by
[b]Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts[/b]

Seattle is having a lot of problems with many important players injured, depleting their offensive and defensive of the needed quality to win games in this league. The Seahawks will visit a team that has a very good offense thanks to their franchise QB, one of the best in the NFL and on a field that is very hard to play and harder to win. The Seattle's offense is going to face a good opposition and to be honest, I'm not seeing them doing much damage to the Colts, it's the Seahawks D that will have the major troubles to stop Manning and Garçon.

Peyton Manning has been top-notch in this season start, thrilling with short and deep passes, and with the help of the second year WR Pierre Garçon, a lot of damage has been delivered on the opponents' defenses. The Colts D is playing very well this year, doing their job as expected. Indianapolis has a very close team, very complete in all the sectors of the field, which makes them very dangerous and they are also in top form.

I'm not seeing the Seattle defense putting a stop on the Manning / Garçon duo nor their offense to complicate matters to the Colts D, and therefore, with the edge of having the home field advantage, Indianapolis has everything to win this game by 2 or more touchdowns.


[b]Pick: Indianapolis Colts -10 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker[/b]
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