[b]Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars[/b]

Time is running out for Tennessee, they lost their first 3 games of the season which is very bad for the team and if they don't start winning this week, their season is over. So, we have the Titans in a do-or-die situation, this is a must win game for them and for me, they have enough quality to pull it off. They have a decent QB and an excellent rushing game with Chris Johnson, very physical and capable of winning games, but the great problem of these Titans this year is on their pass defense, conceding a lot of points, which is odd since they have on the paper an outstanding Defense and they shouldn't suffer so much points like they did, so I'm expecting the Titans D to rise up to the occasion, doing their job as expected, because they have the quality and the skills to do so.

Jacksonville has a nice QB too and like the Titans, they also have a good rushing game, but I think that Jones Drew has not the same quality as Chris Johnson. This season, the Jags O is having a lot of troubles, too many rookies and things are not going well for them. Their offensive game plan is very predictable, they always go for the rushing game and the Titans head coach knows that and will surely prep is team against it, since Tennessee has a good ground defense. The Jags D only did a good first game against the Colts, after that they conceded a lot of points, they aren't doing well and that is not a good thing.

Tennesse can't lose this one, even if it is on the road, and quite frankly, I'm not seeing this Titans team with all the skilled players they have ending 0-4 in the week 4, they have the best team, they usually do well against Jacksonville winning almost every game they had with the Jags, so I think Tennessee will win this game by one or more touchdowns.


[b]Pick: Tennessee Titans -3 +100 (2,00) Legends[/b]

[b]New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs[/b]

When everybody thought that the Giants would have a lot of issues on their Offense due to what happened to Plaxico Burress, the young receivers incorporated in the offensive team are taking care of the business. This Giants franchise is perhaps one of the best organized teams in all the field sectors, everybody knows their job and what to do and that translates in success in this season start. QB Eli Manning has been very good and secure, showing a good chemistry with his excellent young wide receivers and that is why they are scoring a lot of points in the offense. The Giants are also playing very well in their Defense, showing a lot of focus and they don't give their opposition many chances to progress down the field. Bottom line, this Giants' team is quite strong and complete.

Kansas City has a great problem to solve on their offense: QB Matt Cassel is a good plays, not bad at all, however he doesn't have the manpower to give continuity to his plays, like we saw on his last game where he did 14/18 for only 90 Yards, which is simply awful. Knowing that the Chiefs will face one of the best defenses in the NFL, things won't be pretty on this side of the game. If we look at the Chiefs D, they aren't playing good either, overall, and truth be told, Kansas City has not been well in this early season in any sector and it will be painful to watch them play against these Giants.

In conclusion, if New York is a very complete team, the Chiefs are the opposite, the Giants D will face a weak offense, and the Giants O has everything to make things harder for the Kansas City defense. For me, this Giants on the road have the upperhand and they will win this game by 2 or more touchdowns.


[b] Pick: New York Giants -8,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker[/b]

[b] Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots [/b]

Baltimore has never won against New England, but I think this time it will be different. The Ravens are playing very well in all the important sectors in the field. QB Joe Flacco has improved a lot, much more confident on his decisions during this year, thanks to the time his OL provides him to take the best calls and also because he has good offensive players to which he can deliver his passes.

This improvement on the Baltimore's Offense, playing very well both on the passing game and on the rushing game as well, offsets the lower performance of the Ravens D, by far their strongest spot. We could say that the Baltimore's Defence is weaker because they suffer a lot more points than on the previous season, but for me that is not the real reason: in fact, the Ravens D is attacking a lot more, taking more risks. And when they are called to win a game, like it happened on week 2, Ravens D was outstanding, earning a winner. Baltimore has one of the best defenses of the NFL, if not even the best of the league.

Curiously the Patriots have been very good on the Defense, but they are playing very poor on the Offense, which is the opposite of the Ravens performances. When in the early season everything pointed to some struggle on the defense and a show of force on the offense, we are getting the opposite. The reason why the Pats O is not doing well is due to lack of form of their QB Tom Brady, which hasn't returned to his good old self. Only when that happens, New England will become again a great offensive powerhouse, something that I believe will happen someday this season, but not on this match.

Wes Welker is missing due to injury, he is a very important player for Brady, we still don't know for sure if he will play in this game, the reports I've got say that he hasn't practiced, which is never a good sign. The Pats have played poorly on the passing game, but on the rushing game they are doing very well, but for this match, they will face the best ground defense team in the NFL and the Ravens will make things very hard for the Pats' rushers.

This is a game where Baltimore shows up at a superior level than New England, the Ravens have a great Defense and their Offense has delivered the goods with a lot of points scored, but for this game, life won't be easy for the Ravens, because the Patriots are defending very well, but the New England's offense is having a lot of troubles on the air and their winners were due to their rushing game, which will have a very difficult time against the best ground defense team in the league, and that is why I see a win on the road for the Baltimore Ravens.


[b] Pick: Baltimore Ravens +1,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker [/b]

[b]Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots: Baltimore Ravens +1,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker, Bet Jamaica, Bet365, Ladbrokes, Boyle Sports, Centrebet;[/b]
BAL +2 -107 (1,935) Pinnacle; BAL +2 -110 (1,91) WSEX, Bodog, Sportbet, Betonline, Partybets and Gamebookers; BAL +1,5 -108 (1,93) Canbet;

[b]New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs: New York Giants -8,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker, Bet 365, Ladbrokes, WSEX, Boyle Sports, Centrebet, bwin;[/b]
NYG -8 -107 (1,935) Pinnacle; NYG -8,5 -108 (1,93) Canbet; NYG -8,5 -104 (1,96) 188bet;

[b]Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville: Tennessee Titans -3 +100 (2,00) Legends, Betonline, Ladbrokes, Stan James, bwin;[/b]
TEN -3 +105 (2,05) Expekt; TEN -3 -105 (1,95) The Greek, Bet Jamaica, 5Dimes, JustBet, Sportbet, Bet365, Canbet, Partybets and Gamebookers; TEN -3 -106 (1,943) Pinnacle; TEN -3 -106 (1,94) 188bet;

[b]Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis: Indianapolis Colts -10 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker, Legends, Bet Jamaica, Betonline, Sportbet, BEtUS, Ladbrokes, Centrebet;[/b]
IND -10 -107 (1,935) Pinnacle; IND -10 -108 (1,93) Canbet; IND -10 -109 (1,92) 188bet;

[b]Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns: Cincinnati Bengals -6 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker, Legends, 5Dimes, The Greek, Bet Jamaica, Sportbet, BetUS, WSEX, Bet365, Ladbrokes, Boyle Sports, Centrebet, bwin;[/b]
CIN -5,5 -110 (1,91) BetOnline, JustBet, ; CIN -5,5 -102 (1,98) Expekt; CIN -6 -107 (1,935) Pinnacle; CIN -108 (1,93) Canbet;

[b]Saints Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco 49ers -9 -110 (1,91) The Greek;[/b]
SFO -9,5 -104 (1,962) Pinnacle; SFO -9,5 -105 (1,95) Unibet; SFO -10 -104 (1,94) 188bet; SFO -108 (1,93) Canbet; SFO -110 (1,91) Bookmaker; Bet365, Ladbrokes, Boyle Sports, Centrebet;

[b]Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota Vikings -3,5 -110 (1,91) Legends, Unibet;[/b]
MIN -3,5 -108 (1,93) Canbet; MIN -3,5 -109 (1,917) Pinnacle; MIN -3,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker, The Greek, Ladbrokes, Stan James, Centrebet;


Writeups will be available later in the weekend.

this month's update...

jonnygold